UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick New Mexico
  
New Mexico            
W-L: ( 5- 5) PR = 93.4918

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 6- 4 317 A Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 6- 3 324 A Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 2-12 407 A Wright State HL (10-12, 94.1) 5- 2 414 A New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 1- 6 428 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 15-16 512 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 12- 6 521 A Nevada MW ( 6-13, 92.9) 13- 4 522 A San Diego State MW (15-16, 92.9) 6-11 523 A Air Force MW ( 5-13, 94.9) 1-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Vanderbilt              6- 4       2    -3    ++     4.96
   317 A Arizona                 6- 3       3    -1    ++     4.01
   324 A Texas Tech              2-12     -10    -3    ---   -7.02
   407 A Wright State            5- 2       3    -1    ++     4.31
   414 A New Mexico State        1- 6      -5     0    --    -4.94
   428 H New Mexico State       15-16      -1     1    -     -2.29
   512 H New Mexico State       12- 6       6     1    ++     4.71
   521 A Nevada                 13- 4       9     0    +++    9.06
   522 A San Diego State         6-11      -5     0    --    -4.88
   523 A Air Force               1-11     -10    -2    ---   -7.92

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Texas Tech              2-12     -10    -3    ---   -7.02
   523 A Air Force               1-11     -10    -2    ---   -7.92
   414 A New Mexico State        1- 6      -5     0    --    -4.94
   522 A San Diego State         6-11      -5     0    --    -4.88
   428 H New Mexico State       15-16      -1     1    -     -2.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 A Nevada                 13- 4       9     0    +++    9.06
   303 H Vanderbilt              6- 4       2    -3    ++     4.96
   317 A Arizona                 6- 3       3    -1    ++     4.01
   407 A Wright State            5- 2       3    -1    ++     4.31
   512 H New Mexico State       12- 6       6     1    ++     4.71

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Vanderbilt      (32-22, 97.1)     6- 4       -2.78      15.65      -0.68         2.89            86.61
   3 A Arizona         (17-36, 93.8)     6- 3       -6.08      12.35       0.68         2.89            75.34
   3 A Texas Tech      (31-24, 95.8)     2-12       -4.11      14.32       0.68         2.89            -4.96
   3 A Wright State    (10-12, 94.1)     5- 2       -5.77      12.65       0.68         2.89            77.10
   3 A New Mexico Sta  (21-32, 92.9)     1- 6       -7.02      11.41       0.68         2.89            -9.17
   3 H New Mexico Sta  (21-32, 92.9)    15-16       -7.02      11.41      -0.68         2.89           -11.13
   3 H New Mexico Sta  (21-32, 92.9)    12- 6       -7.02      11.41      -0.68         2.89            62.07
   3 A Nevada          ( 6-13, 92.9)    13- 4       -7.03      11.40       0.68         2.89            69.85
   3 A San Diego Stat  (15-16, 92.9)     6-11       -6.97      11.46       0.68         2.89            -9.10
   3 A Air Force       ( 5-13, 94.9)     1-11       -5.00      13.42       0.68         2.89            -6.26
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       330.36

winning pts = 370.9761 losing points = -40.6150

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------